Guidelines for submitting questions
  1. All questions must follow Facebook community standards
  2. Questions should not mention any person who is not a public figure and is not over the age of 18.
  3. Questions should not mention death, or sexual or violent assault of any individual or group.
  4. Questions onset in illness limited to any group defined by race, gender, Native identity, ethnicity, or country of origin.
  5. Questions should not mention the serious misfortune - economic, physical or mental health, of any individual person.
  6. Questions should not make use of an information that the suggester is not legally able to share.
  7. Questions should specify a clear event or end date.
  8. Questions should use a neutral and unbiased phrasing (see examples below).
Question review process
Once questions are submitted, they will be reviewed by members of the NPE team. If they align with the guidelines above, they'll go live in the app. You'll get a notification if this happens.
What will get published
The more specific the question and time period are, and the more neutral the phrasing, the more likely a question is to be published. Examples:
  1. 'Will the FDA approve a vaccine for COVID-19 by the end of March 2021?' Is more likely to get published than 'Will a COVID-19 vaccine get approved?'
  2. 'Will the number of COVID-19 tests conducted in California be above 1M by July 4?' is more likely to be published than, 'Will California successfully roll out COVID-19 tests by July 4?'
  3. 'Will newly diagnosed cases of COVID-19 decline month over month in the Boston area in June?' is more likely to get published than 'Will Boston's COVID-19 response be more effective in June'
  4. 'Average year-over-year home values in Detroit will increase in July' is more likely to be published than 'Real estate values will increase'.
'Settlement Info' (i.e. the info for how we will determine whether a question is true or false once either the time period has elapsed or the event has occurred) should include a source for checking whether the question has occurred, and a time period after which the question will be closed. We may edit the settlement info prior to publishing to align with the Settlement Info template, and/or make it clearer, more specific, and review/update sources. See some examples below:
  1. Template: 'If {event occurs} by {date} according to {source}, then this question will be marked as YES. Otherwise it will be marked as NO.'
  2. Will be marked as YES if the US Food and Drug Administration (www.fda.gov/home) approves a vaccine for COVID-19 on or before March 31, 2021. Otherwise this question will be marked as NO.
  3. Will be marked as YES if the number of COVID-19 tests conducted in California is above 1M by July 4 according to the COVID Tracking Project (https://covidtracking.com/data). Otherwise this question will be marked a NO.
  4. Will be marked as YES if the number of newly diagnosed cases of COVID-19 in Boston in May 2020 is lower than the number of newly diagnosed cases in Boston in April 2020 according to the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Research Center (https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/us-map). Otherwise this question will be marked as NO.
  5. Will be marked as YES if average home values in Detroit increase in July 2020 (compared with July 2019) according to Zillow. (https://www.zillow.com/home-values/). Otherwise it will be marked as NO.
Suggested questions will be moderated by an internal panel based on the guidelines above. Question suggestions that are the same or very similar to previously asked or currently live questions may not be published. We may edit questions and settlement info for clarity and conciseness.
Users will get an extra 100 points for each unique question they submit that follows the guidelines above, regardless of whether a question gets published.
Question settling process
Members of the Forecast team will be exclusively responsible for settling questions. If you believe that a question has been settled incorrectly, please get in touch at forecast-feedback@fb.com.
Join the waitlist to become a forecaster
To join the waitlist, request access to the Forecast Beta Testers Facebook group