A community for crowdsourced predictions
Forecast community members can pose questions about the future, make predictions and discuss their collective knowledge. To join the community, please request access to the Forecast Beta Testers Facebook group and download the app.
We'll be approving users in batches, starting with members of the health, research, and academic community in the US and Canada. In the meantime, please keep scrolling and follow us on Twitter for updates.
Questions
Will the US government ban TikTok by the end of 2021?
Yes
22%
CHANCE
No
78%
CHANCE
107 Forecasters
Will there be a second shelter in place period in California in 2020?
Yes
39%
CHANCE
No
61%
CHANCE
102 Forecasters
Who will Joe Biden's running mate be?
Kamala Harris
47%
CHANCE
Elizabeth Warren
6%
CHANCE
Stacy Abrams
2%
CHANCE
Gretchen Whitmer
1%
CHANCE
Tammy Duckworth
22%
CHANCE
Amy Klobuchar
0%
CHANCE
Keisha Lance Bottoms
1%
CHANCE
Val Demings
2%
CHANCE
Karen Bass
14%
CHANCE
88 Forecasters
Will AMC Theatres file for bankruptcy this year?
Yes
31%
CHANCE
No
69%
CHANCE
80 Forecasters
Will Microsoft buy TikTok?
Yes
71%
CHANCE
No
29%
CHANCE
80 Forecasters
Will the US Presidential Election be fully or partially postponed?
Yes
7%
CHANCE
No
93%
CHANCE
76 Forecasters
Will Disney World close again by the end of August 2020?
Yes
16%
CHANCE
No
84%
CHANCE
75 Forecasters
Will Joe Biden select an African American woman as his running mate?
Yes
86%
CHANCE
No
14%
CHANCE
73 Forecasters
Will the price of Bitcoin exceed $20k by July 1, 2021?
Yes
35%
CHANCE
No
65%
CHANCE
73 Forecasters
Who will be elected president in the 2020 US election?
Trump
32%
CHANCE
Biden
67%
CHANCE
72 Forecasters
When a COVID-19 vaccine is discovered, will it be available for free for people living in the US?
Yes
27%
CHANCE
No
73%
CHANCE
71 Forecasters
Will Mitt Romney run for president in 2020?
Yes
15%
CHANCE
No
85%
CHANCE
68 Forecasters
Will “Tiger King” on Netflix get a spinoff season?
Yes
50%
CHANCE
No
50%
CHANCE
61 Forecasters
Will the FDA approve a vaccine for COVID-19 by the end of March 2021?
Yes
85%
CHANCE
No
15%
CHANCE
61 Forecasters
When will the iPhone 12 be available for purchase?
By October 1
29%
CHANCE
By May 1, 2021
70%
CHANCE
60 Forecasters
Will there be a second wave of COVID-19 cases in the US in 2020?
Yes
92%
CHANCE
No
8%
CHANCE
59 Forecasters
Which party will win the popular vote in the 2020 presidential election?
Democrat
73%
CHANCE
Republican
26%
CHANCE
56 Forecasters
Will LeBron James play in the 2020 NBA finals?
Yes
55%
CHANCE
No
45%
CHANCE
55 Forecasters
Will UC Berkeley cancel all in person classes for Fall 2020?
Yes
23%
CHANCE
No
77%
CHANCE
53 Forecasters
Will Airbnb be listed on NASDAQ before December 31st?
Yes
19%
CHANCE
No
81%
CHANCE
53 Forecasters
Will the FDA approve a vaccine for COVID-19 by the end of December 2020?
Yes
62%
CHANCE
No
38%
CHANCE
53 Forecasters
Which candidate will win the presidential general election in Texas?
Biden
31%
CHANCE
Trump
68%
CHANCE
52 Forecasters
Will the US rejoin the Paris Climate Agreement by February 28, 2021?
Yes
45%
CHANCE
No
55%
CHANCE
52 Forecasters
Will Donald Trump drop out of the presidential election?
Yes
15%
CHANCE
No
85%
CHANCE
51 Forecasters
Will Juneteenth become a federal holiday in 2020?
Yes
4%
CHANCE
No
96%
CHANCE
48 Forecasters
What type of tie will Donald Trump wear during the first presidential debate?
Solid
71%
CHANCE
Striped
19%
CHANCE
Checkered
2%
CHANCE
Paisley
1%
CHANCE
Not solid, striped, checkered, or paisley
4%
CHANCE
48 Forecasters
Will SF average real estate prices for August 2020 be lower than August 2019?
Yes
26%
CHANCE
No
74%
CHANCE
47 Forecasters
When will the SF Giants begin playing with fans in the stands?
By September 21
5%
CHANCE
After September 21
30%
CHANCE
Not at all
63%
CHANCE
46 Forecasters
Will Airbnb hold its initial public offering before the end of 2020?
Yes
26%
CHANCE
No
74%
CHANCE
46 Forecasters
Which candidate will win the presidential general election in Georgia?
Trump
74%
CHANCE
Biden
25%
CHANCE
45 Forecasters
Will Kanye West poll higher than Donald Trump at any point during the election?
Yes
4%
CHANCE
No
96%
CHANCE
45 Forecasters
Will the EU include the US on its list of countries for which travel restrictions should be lifted at any point before December 31st, 2020?
Yes
34%
CHANCE
No
66%
CHANCE
44 Forecasters
Will the US federal government release a national COVID tracking app in 2020?
Yes
7%
CHANCE
No
93%
CHANCE
43 Forecasters
Will 2020 be the hottest year on record?
Yes
38%
CHANCE
No
62%
CHANCE
43 Forecasters
Will the NFL begin its regular season on schedule?
Yes
45%
CHANCE
No
55%
CHANCE
41 Forecasters
Will the FDA approve a vaccine for COVID-19 by the end of October 2021?
Yes
84%
CHANCE
No
16%
CHANCE
40 Forecasters
Will the rest of the NBA 2019-2020 season be cancelled?
Yes
10%
CHANCE
No
90%
CHANCE
40 Forecasters
Will San Francisco Unified School District delay school openings in the fall?
Yes
42%
CHANCE
No
58%
CHANCE
40 Forecasters
Will Joe Biden back out of his commitment to debate Donald Trump?
Yes
8%
CHANCE
No
92%
CHANCE
40 Forecasters
How many deaths from COVID-19 will the US report by December 31, 2020?
More than 180,000
96%
CHANCE
Less than 150,000
1%
CHANCE
Between 150,000 and 180,000
2%
CHANCE
39 Forecasters
Will the U.S. Senate vote to declassify further government research into unidentified aerial phenomena (UFOs) by the end of 2020?
Yes
46%
CHANCE
No
54%
CHANCE
39 Forecasters
Will Mike Pence be the 2020 Republican vice president Nominee?
Yes
93%
CHANCE
No
7%
CHANCE
39 Forecasters
Will Joe Biden announce his running mate before the Democratic Convention?
Yes
97%
CHANCE
No
3%
CHANCE
38 Forecasters
Will the Dow Jones industrial average reach 30,000 by the 2020 presidential election?
Yes
26%
CHANCE
No
74%
CHANCE
38 Forecasters
Will TikTok be purchased by a U.S. company for more than $50 billion?
Yes
14%
CHANCE
No
86%
CHANCE
38 Forecasters
Will Italy receive a financial bailout from the euro zone by end of year?
Yes
23%
CHANCE
No
77%
CHANCE
37 Forecasters
Will Ruth Bader Ginsburg continue as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court after December 31, 2020?
Yes
75%
CHANCE
No
25%
CHANCE
37 Forecasters
Will Alphabet acquire Lyft in 2020?
Yes
7%
CHANCE
No
93%
CHANCE
36 Forecasters
Will Phase I analysis of Moderna vaccine show any adverse events?
Yes
89%
CHANCE
No
11%
CHANCE
36 Forecasters
Will the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases globally be above 500M by 2021?
Yes
15%
CHANCE
No
85%
CHANCE
35 Forecasters
Will Nancy Pelosi maintain her Speaker of the House position when the 117th US Congress elects their leadership in 2021?
Yes
86%
CHANCE
No
14%
CHANCE
35 Forecasters
Will the candidate who receives the least amount of electoral college votes in the November 2020 presidential election concede their loss without a challenge?
Yes
58%
CHANCE
No
42%
CHANCE
34 Forecasters
Will Apple release eyewear by 2021?
Yes
17%
CHANCE
No
83%
CHANCE
34 Forecasters
Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics opening ceremony take place as scheduled on July 23, 2021?
Yes
60%
CHANCE
No
40%
CHANCE
34 Forecasters
Will Amazon purchase AMC theaters?
Yes
8%
CHANCE
No
92%
CHANCE
33 Forecasters
Will Major League Baseball complete its 60 game season?
Yes
22%
CHANCE
No
78%
CHANCE
33 Forecasters
Will quarterback Tom Brady’s first touchdown in the 2020-2021 NFL season be received and scored by tight end Rob Gronkowski?
Yes
21%
CHANCE
No
79%
CHANCE
33 Forecasters
Will Black Widow debut on Disney+ at the same time as or instead of a theatrical release?
Yes
46%
CHANCE
No
54%
CHANCE
32 Forecasters
Wil the Brexit transition period be extended beyond January?
Yes
26%
CHANCE
No
74%
CHANCE
32 Forecasters
Will Airbnb be listed on the NYSE before December 31st?
Yes
20%
CHANCE
No
80%
CHANCE
31 Forecasters
Will locusts be considered a world plague by October 2021?
Yes
11%
CHANCE
No
89%
CHANCE
30 Forecasters
Will Tesla be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2020?
Yes
81%
CHANCE
No.
19%
CHANCE
30 Forecasters
Will Republicans take control of the House in 2020?
Yes
13%
CHANCE
No
87%
CHANCE
29 Forecasters
Will Frank Ocean release an album this year?
Yes
42%
CHANCE
No
58%
CHANCE
29 Forecasters
Will Mitch McConnell endorse Joe Biden for President?
Yes
4%
CHANCE
No
96%
CHANCE
29 Forecasters
Will the Canadian prohibition on discretionary travel from the US into Canada remain unchanged through the end of the year?
Yes
24%
CHANCE
No
76%
CHANCE
29 Forecasters
How many hurricanes will make landfall in the state of Florida in 2020?
0
11%
CHANCE
1
25%
CHANCE
2
29%
CHANCE
3
20%
CHANCE
4 or more
13%
CHANCE
29 Forecasters
Will the UN sanction China for its handling of the coronavirus outbreak by the end of 2020?
Yes
7%
CHANCE
No
93%
CHANCE
28 Forecasters
What type of tie will Joe Biden wear during the first presidential debate?
Solid
77%
CHANCE
Striped
16%
CHANCE
Checkered
1%
CHANCE
Not solid, striped, checkered, or paisley
3%
CHANCE
Paisley
1%
CHANCE
28 Forecasters
Will the US birth rate for 2020 be higher than the average birth rate for the last 10 years?
Yes
14%
CHANCE
No
86%
CHANCE
28 Forecasters
Will contestants on the next season of "The Bachelor" be socially distanced during filming?
Yes
16%
CHANCE
No
84%
CHANCE
27 Forecasters
Will the NBA cancel the remainder of the 2019 / 2020 season?
Yes
6%
CHANCE
No
94%
CHANCE
26 Forecasters
Will the Winds of Winter will be released by Sept 2020?
Yes
7%
CHANCE
No
93%
CHANCE
25 Forecasters
Will NCAA football games be cancelled for the 2020 / 2021 season?
Yes
61%
CHANCE
No
39%
CHANCE
25 Forecasters
Will Donald Trump throw the first pitch at a Washington Nationals home game during the 2020 MLB season?
Yes
6%
CHANCE
No
94%
CHANCE
25 Forecasters
Which party will win California in the 2020 presidential election?
Republican
2%
CHANCE
Democrat
98%
CHANCE
25 Forecasters
Will Joe Biden drop out of the presidential election?
Yes
8%
CHANCE
No
92%
CHANCE
25 Forecasters
Will Burning Man be held in Black Rock Desert in 2021?
Yes
60%
CHANCE
No
40%
CHANCE
24 Forecasters
Will Daft Punk release a new album in 2020?
Yes
25%
CHANCE
No
75%
CHANCE
24 Forecasters
Will Tesla release a software update to enable L5 driving option for at least one currently released (as of July 2020) model end of March 2021?
Yes
9%
CHANCE
No
91%
CHANCE
24 Forecasters
Will the 2020 NFL season be delayed?
Yes
49%
CHANCE
No
51%
CHANCE
24 Forecasters
Will the FDA approve a vaccine for COVID-19 by the end of July 2021?
Yes
85%
CHANCE
No
15%
CHANCE
24 Forecasters
Which show will win the 2020 Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?
Better Call Saul
7%
CHANCE
The Crown
7%
CHANCE
The Handmaid's Tale
5%
CHANCE
Killing Eve
6%
CHANCE
The Mandalorian
8%
CHANCE
Ozark
9%
CHANCE
Stranger Things
6%
CHANCE
Succession
48%
CHANCE
24 Forecasters
Will Mayor Bill Di Blasio be recalled in New York City by December 31st, 2020?
Yes
6%
CHANCE
No
94%
CHANCE
23 Forecasters
Will a presidential debate take place on 10/15/20?
Yes
83%
CHANCE
No
17%
CHANCE
23 Forecasters
Will Antonio Brown play with any NFL team during the 2020 season?
Yes
47%
CHANCE
No
53%
CHANCE
23 Forecasters
Will a Democrat win the popular vote in the US Presidential Election?
Yes
81%
CHANCE
No
19%
CHANCE
22 Forecasters
Will Liverpool be crowned champions of the English Premiere League?
Yes
93%
CHANCE
No
7%
CHANCE
22 Forecasters
Will Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson's charity golf tournament become an annual event?
Yes
26%
CHANCE
No
74%
CHANCE
22 Forecasters
Will a 2020 presidential candidate release the results of a complete medical and mental evaluation prior to the November 2020 elections?
Biden
80%
CHANCE
Trump
19%
CHANCE
22 Forecasters
Will Reed Hastings be co-CEO or CEO of Netflix by end of March 2021?
Yes
85%
CHANCE
No
15%
CHANCE
22 Forecasters
Will the U.S. retail price of the Sony PlayStation 5 exceed $500.00 U.S.D.?
Yes
24%
CHANCE
No
76%
CHANCE
22 Forecasters
Will the price of Litecoin exceed $70 by August 31, 2020?
Yes
30%
CHANCE
No
70%
CHANCE
22 Forecasters
Will the US all-cause mortality rate from July 1, 2020 - June 30, 2021 be higher than the average over the previous 10 years?
Yes
88%
CHANCE
No
12%
CHANCE
21 Forecasters
Will the total number of COVID cases in Florida exceed the total number of COVID cases in California state by the end of August?
Yes
12%
CHANCE
No
88%
CHANCE
21 Forecasters
Will Republicans keep control of the Senate in 2020?
Yes
58%
CHANCE
No
42%
CHANCE
20 Forecasters
WIll Uber acquire Lime Scooters in 2020?
Yes
5%
CHANCE
No
95%
CHANCE
20 Forecasters
Will the 2019 / 2020 NBA season return with more than 1 month of games?
Yes
86%
CHANCE
No
14%
CHANCE
20 Forecasters
Will Disney+ have more than 70 million paid subscribers by August 31, 2020?
Yes
19%
CHANCE
No
81%
CHANCE
20 Forecasters
Will Super Bowl LV be delayed?
Yes
69%
CHANCE
No
31%
CHANCE
20 Forecasters
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