A community for crowdsourced predictions
Forecast community members can pose questions about the future, make predictions and discuss their collective knowledge. To join the community, please request access to the Forecast Beta Testers Facebook group and download the app.
We'll be approving users in batches, starting with members of the health, research, and academic community in the US and Canada. In the meantime, please keep scrolling and follow us on Twitter for updates.
Questions
Will the US Presidential Election be fully or partially postponed?
YES
4%
CHANCE
NO
96%
CHANCE
66 Forecasters
Will there be a second shelter in place period in California in 2020?
YES
54%
CHANCE
NO
46%
CHANCE
65 Forecasters
Will there be a second wave of COVID-19 cases in the US in 2020?
YES
96%
CHANCE
NO
4%
CHANCE
59 Forecasters
Will the S&P 500 index decline below the March 23 low over the next 3 months?
YES
10%
CHANCE
NO
90%
CHANCE
58 Forecasters
Will AMC Theatres file for bankruptcy this year?
YES
73%
CHANCE
NO
27%
CHANCE
55 Forecasters
Will Joe Biden select an African American woman as his running mate?
YES
83%
CHANCE
NO
17%
CHANCE
49 Forecasters
When a COVID-19 vaccine is discovered, will it be available for free for people living in the US?
YES
14%
CHANCE
NO
86%
CHANCE
46 Forecasters
Will the FDA approve a vaccine for COVID-19 by the end of March 2021?
YES
90%
CHANCE
NO
10%
CHANCE
45 Forecasters
Will “Tiger King” on Netflix get a spinoff season?
YES
61%
CHANCE
NO
39%
CHANCE
43 Forecasters
Who will be elected president in the 2020 US election?
Trump
33%
CHANCE
Biden
70%
CHANCE
49 Forecasters
Which party will win the popular vote in the 2020 presidential election?
Democrat
91%
CHANCE
Republican
19%
CHANCE
46 Forecasters
Will Juneteenth become a federal holiday in 2020?
YES
7%
CHANCE
NO
93%
CHANCE
41 Forecasters
Will the MLB have a season this year?
YES
77%
CHANCE
NO
23%
CHANCE
38 Forecasters
Will the total number of COVID cases in California exceed the total number of COVID cases in New York state by end of July?
YES
80%
CHANCE
NO
20%
CHANCE
38 Forecasters
Will San Francisco K-12 public schools open on schedule in fall 2020?
YES
80%
CHANCE
NO
20%
CHANCE
37 Forecasters
Which candidate will win the presidential general election in Texas?
Biden
35%
CHANCE
Trump
73%
CHANCE
42 Forecasters
Will the rest of the NBA 2019-2020 season be cancelled?
YES
24%
CHANCE
NO
76%
CHANCE
36 Forecasters
When will the iPhone 12 be available for purchase?
By October 1
24%
CHANCE
By May 1, 2021
80%
CHANCE
38 Forecasters
How many deaths from COVID-19 will the US report by December 31, 2020?
Not 150,000
16%
CHANCE
More than 180,000
94%
CHANCE
At least 150,000
78%
CHANCE
47 Forecasters
Will SF average real estate prices for July 2020 be lower than July 2019?
Yes
90%
CHANCE
No
10%
CHANCE
36 Forecasters
When will the SF Giants begin playing with fans in the stands?
By September 21
35%
CHANCE
After September 21
82%
CHANCE
Not at all
69%
CHANCE
39 Forecasters
Will Mulan debut on Disney+ at the same time as or instead of a theatrical release?
YES
53%
CHANCE
NO
47%
CHANCE
33 Forecasters
Will UC Berkeley cancel all in person classes for Fall 2020?
YES
15%
CHANCE
NO
85%
CHANCE
33 Forecasters
How many deaths from COVID-19 will the US report by December 31, 2020?
More than 180,000
94%
CHANCE
Less than 150,000
13%
CHANCE
Between 150,000 and 180,000
17%
CHANCE
42 Forecasters
Which candidate will win the presidential general election in Georgia?
Trump
68%
CHANCE
Biden
45%
CHANCE
36 Forecasters
Will Airbnb be listed on NASDAQ before December 31st?
YES
8%
CHANCE
NO
92%
CHANCE
33 Forecasters
Will Alphabet acquire Lyft in 2020?
YES
5%
CHANCE
NO
95%
CHANCE
32 Forecasters
Will the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases globally be above 500M by 2021?
YES
18%
CHANCE
NO
82%
CHANCE
29 Forecasters
Will the NFL begin its regular season on schedule?
YES
33%
CHANCE
NO
67%
CHANCE
28 Forecasters
Will Phase I analysis of Moderna vaccine show any adverse events?
YES
89%
CHANCE
NO
11%
CHANCE
28 Forecasters
Will Airbnb hold its initial public offering before the end of 2020?
YES
15%
CHANCE
NO
85%
CHANCE
28 Forecasters
Will Italy receive a financial bailout from the euro zone by end of year?
YES
50%
CHANCE
NO
50%
CHANCE
27 Forecasters
Will the Dow Jones industrial average reach 30,000 by the 2020 presidential election?
YES
13%
CHANCE
NO
87%
CHANCE
26 Forecasters
Wil the Brexit transition period be extended beyond January?
YES
59%
CHANCE
NO
41%
CHANCE
25 Forecasters
Will Ruth Bader Ginsburg continue as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court after December 31, 2020?
YES
84%
CHANCE
NO
16%
CHANCE
25 Forecasters
Will the FDA approve a vaccine for COVID-19 by the end of October 2021?
YES
92%
CHANCE
NO
8%
CHANCE
24 Forecasters
Will San Francisco Unified School District delay school openings in the fall?
YES
22%
CHANCE
NO
78%
CHANCE
24 Forecasters
Will Amazon purchase AMC theaters?
Yes
3%
CHANCE
No
97%
CHANCE
24 Forecasters
Will the UN sanction China for its handling of the coronavirus outbreak by the end of 2020?
YES
10%
CHANCE
NO
90%
CHANCE
23 Forecasters
Will Black Widow debut on Disney+ at the same time as or instead of a theatrical release?
YES
39%
CHANCE
NO
61%
CHANCE
23 Forecasters
Will locusts be considered a world plague by October 2021?
YES
6%
CHANCE
NO
94%
CHANCE
23 Forecasters
Will Mayor Bill Di Blasio be recalled in New York City by December 31st, 2020?
Yes
6%
CHANCE
No
94%
CHANCE
23 Forecasters
Will the price of gold exceed $2000 per ounce in 2020?
YES
20%
CHANCE
NO
80%
CHANCE
22 Forecasters
Will the candidate who receives the least amount of electoral college votes in the November 2020 presidential election concede their loss without a challenge?
YES
68%
CHANCE
NO
32%
CHANCE
22 Forecasters
Will Frank Ocean release an album this year?
YES
62%
CHANCE
NO
38%
CHANCE
22 Forecasters
Will US year over year GDP growth in Q2 2020 be below -10%?
YES
92%
CHANCE
NO
8%
CHANCE
21 Forecasters
Will the Winds of Winter will be released by Sept 2020?
YES
11%
CHANCE
NO
89%
CHANCE
20 Forecasters
How will the Nobel Peace Prize ceremony take place in 2020?
YES
59%
CHANCE
Virtual
88%
CHANCE
In person
36%
CHANCE
23 Forecasters
Will a 2020 presidential candidate release the results of a complete medical and mental evaluation prior to the November 2020 elections?
Biden
71%
CHANCE
Trump
22%
CHANCE
22 Forecasters
Will Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson's charity golf tournament become an annual event?
Yes
31%
CHANCE
No
69%
CHANCE
19 Forecasters
WIll Uber acquire Lime Scooters in 2020?
YES
4%
CHANCE
NO
96%
CHANCE
18 Forecasters
Will contestants on the next season of "The Bachelor" be socially distanced during filming?
YES
13%
CHANCE
NO
87%
CHANCE
18 Forecasters
Will Bay Area transit mobility rise by more than 20% from the current low by July 15?
Yes
12%
CHANCE
No
88%
CHANCE
17 Forecasters
Will Liverpool be crowned champions of the English Premiere League?
YES
82%
CHANCE
NO
18%
CHANCE
16 Forecasters
Will the 2019 / 2020 NBA season return with more than 1 month of games?
YES
66%
CHANCE
NO
34%
CHANCE
16 Forecasters
What will be the percentage of increase in total traveler throughput according to TSA inJuly 2020 compared to July 2019?
10% - 15%
15%
CHANCE
less than 5%
86%
CHANCE
greater than 20%
15%
CHANCE
15% - 20%
15%
CHANCE
26 Forecasters
Will the Senate vote to pass the Heroes Act legislation to provide another round of stimulus funds to Americans?
YES
64%
CHANCE
NO
36%
CHANCE
15 Forecasters
Will Airbnb be listed on the NYSE before December 31st?
YES
12%
CHANCE
NO
88%
CHANCE
15 Forecasters
Will there be a decrease in the number of new COVID-19 cases in San Francisco in July 2020 vs. June 2020?
Yes
7%
CHANCE
No
93%
CHANCE
15 Forecasters
Will Jimmy Garoppolo be the starting quarterback for the 49ers in the start of the 2020 season?
YES
89%
CHANCE
NO
11%
CHANCE
14 Forecasters
Will Disney+ have more than 70 million paid subscribers by August 31, 2020?
YES
79%
CHANCE
NO
21%
CHANCE
14 Forecasters
Will the Supreme Court hear oral arguments to dispute the outcome over the 2020 presidential election?
YES
23%
CHANCE
NO
77%
CHANCE
14 Forecasters
Will contestants on the next season of "The Bachelor" meet over video chat rather than in person?
YES
11%
CHANCE
NO
89%
CHANCE
14 Forecasters
How many COVID-19 papers will the Iwasaki lab at Yale University publish in 2020?
20 - 25
20%
CHANCE
25 - 30
44%
CHANCE
15 - 20
15%
CHANCE
11 - 15
9%
CHANCE
30+
55%
CHANCE
24 Forecasters
Will the Florida state government increase statewide COVID-19 restrictions on business operations during the month of July?
Yes
88%
CHANCE
No
12%
CHANCE
14 Forecasters
Who win the 2020 North Carolina Senate race?
Tillis
42%
CHANCE
Cunningham
62%
CHANCE
17 Forecasters
WIll the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in San Francisco be above 3600 by July 6, 2020?
YES
96%
CHANCE
NO
4%
CHANCE
13 Forecasters
Will Soul debut on Disney+ at the same time as or instead of a theatrical release?
YES
41%
CHANCE
NO
59%
CHANCE
12 Forecasters
How will the NBA structure the 2020 Playoffs?
Final 4
29%
CHANCE
Seeding
29%
CHANCE
Playoff
37%
CHANCE
Usual
55%
CHANCE
15 Forecasters
Will Alf get a reboot in 2020?
YES
12%
CHANCE
NO
88%
CHANCE
12 Forecasters
Will California average gas prices rise above $3.15 by 7/13/2020?
Yes
11%
CHANCE
No
89%
CHANCE
12 Forecasters
When will the US Census activate in person field collection activities?
August
48%
CHANCE
June
31%
CHANCE
July
39%
CHANCE
16 Forecasters
Will NCAA football games be cancelled for the 2020 / 2021 season?
YES
32%
CHANCE
NO
68%
CHANCE
10 Forecasters
Will Dominic Cummings leave Downing Street by August 2020?
YES
22%
CHANCE
NO
78%
CHANCE
10 Forecasters
How many unemployment claims will be filed in the US during the week of July 6?
1.45 - 1.55 million
24%
CHANCE
1.35 - 1.45 million
64%
CHANCE
More than 1.55 million
24%
CHANCE
1.25 - 1.35 million
22%
CHANCE
15 Forecasters
Will the Northern White Rhino become fully extinct by 2021?
YES
23%
CHANCE
NO
77%
CHANCE
8 Forecasters
In Season 2 of "Undone" on Amazon, will it be made clear that Alma's visions are imagined?
Yes
20%
CHANCE
No
80%
CHANCE
8 Forecasters
Will the 2019/2020 season of the NBA crossover with the 2020/2021 NFL season?
YES
37%
CHANCE
NO
63%
CHANCE
7 Forecasters
Will Akiva and Libby get married on the next season of Shtisel?
YES
43%
CHANCE
NO
57%
CHANCE
3 Forecasters
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